{"id":17209,"date":"2025-12-02T21:50:52","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T21:50:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?p=17209"},"modified":"2025-12-02T21:50:52","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T21:50:52","slug":"chinas-bytedance-could-be-forced-to-sell-tiktok-u-s-but-its-quiet-lead-in-ai-will-help-it-survive-and-maybe-even-thrive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?p=17209","title":{"rendered":"China\u2019s ByteDance could be forced to sell TikTok U.S., but its quiet lead in AI will help it survive\u2014and maybe even thrive"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n<\/p>\n

Tiktok\u2019s logo was all over the October Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea, perhaps the region\u2019s most important diplomatic get-together. Videos touted the social media platform\u2019s ability to elevate creators, while an exhibition booth played a constant stream of short videos. TikTok executives onstage highlighted the billions of dollars its platform generates in Asia and promised to build \u201ca trusted digital ecosystem.\u201d Delegates got a TikTok-branded baseball cap as part of their swag bag. TikTok creators, at a private lunch on the shores of Gyeongju\u2019s Bomun Lake, praised the platform for bringing them to an audience of hundreds of millions.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cI found my TikTok life when I became a single parent\u2026I had to find ways to support my son,\u201d Ryssi Avila, a Filipino singer who went viral on TikTok, told the assembled delegates. \u201cTikTok made everything easier\u2026It became a lifeline.\u201d<\/p>\n

Yet the real action involving TikTok was taking place 50 miles to the south, in Busan, where U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping were locked in discussions over the future of U.S.-China trade\u2014 and, potentially, the fate of TikTok\u2019s U.S. operations.\u00a0<\/p>\n

For years, U.S. officials have warned that TikTok\u2019s Chinese ownership gives Beijing access to U.S. user data and the power to meddle in U.S. affairs by tweaking the social media platform\u2019s algorithms. Such worries led Congress to pass last year\u2019s so-called divestor-ban law, which threatens to boot TikTok from U.S. app stores unless its owner, ByteDance, sells the app.\u00a0<\/p>\n

In September, U.S. officials announced that a consortium of American investors will be taking over TikTok\u2019s U.S. arm, saving the app\u2019s U.S. operations. Soon after Xi and Trump\u2019s meeting, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that China had endorsed the plan. (Beijing offered a more tepid response, saying it will work with Washington to \u201cproperly resolve\u201d issues related to the app.)\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Trump administration has touted the TikTok deal as a win for Zhang Yiming and friend Liang Rubo rented an apartment in Zhongguancun, a techy neighborhood in Beijing, and launched Toutiao, a hit news aggregator. But ByteDance became the global tech behemoth it is today when it launched Douyin, a short-form video platform, in 2016, and TikTok, Douyin\u2019s international sister app, a year later.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n
\n

\u201cByteDance is the only Chinese company that\u2019s successful in both consumer applications and enterprise adoptions of AI.\u201d
Tony Peng, China AI analyst<\/cite><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n

TikTok now boasts over 1.5 billion monthly active users worldwide. ByteDance\u2019s fortunes swelled with it, reaching a $400 billion valuation, making it, at one point, the world\u2019s most valuable startup.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Now, ByteDance is thinking about its next big play: AI. It debuted its Doubao chatbot in August 2023. It arrived 10 months after ChatGPT\u2019s launch and resembles OpenAI\u2019s main offering in that it can answer questions, conduct searches, and generate images and video. (ByteDance offers access to its AI models to other enterprises through its Volcano Engine platform.) With 157 million monthly active users, Doubao is China\u2019s most-used AI app. In October, a ByteDance executive said the average applications and enterprise adoption of AI,\u201d says Tony Peng, who writes about China\u2019s AI sector.<\/p>\n

\n

If all sides approve the TikTok U.S. sale, a U.S.-based joint venture will take over TikTok\u2019s U.S. operations, likely before a Jan. 23 deadline. ByteDance will maintain a less than 20% stake in the new company; the remaining share reportedly will be split among ByteDance\u2019s current U.S. investors\u2014like venture firm General Atlantic\u2014and new entrants, such as Oracle<\/a> and Silver Lake Management.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Vice President JD Vance has claimed that TikTok\u2019s algorithm will be \u201cAmerican-operated\u201d and that the app\u2019s U.S. arm will be sold for a relatively paltry $14 billion. But recent media reports suggest that the algorithm will remain ByteDance-owned, and the new TikTok U.S. could pay a hefty licensing fee\u2014potentially equal to half of TikTok\u2019s U.S. profits\u2014back to the Chinese firm.<\/p>\n

ByteDance doesn\u2019t disclose its financial results and declined to comment for this article, but media reports peg its revenue at $155 billion, with almost $40 billion of that coming from outside China. Estimates of ByteDance\u2019s U.S. revenue hover around $15 billion. Overall, ByteDance reportedly earned $33 billion in profits last year.<\/p>\n

\n

ByteDance could funnel any money from the sale of TikTok U.S. into maintaining its AI edge.<\/p>\n

The company\u2019s large language models aren\u2019t necessarily the most powerful in China\u2019s AI ecosystem\u2014 that accolade usually goes to models released by DeepSeek, Alibaba, or AI startups like Moonshot AI. \u201cByteDance\u2019s strength isn\u2019t in traditional text LLMs; it\u2019s their image and visual stuff,\u201d Grace Shao, an analyst of China\u2019s AI sector, points out. The firm is integrating generative AI services into TikTok and its video editing app CapCut, allowing users to employ the technology for content. (ByteDance researchers won an Outstanding Paper award in 2024 at NeurIPS, sometimes referred to as the \u201cOlympics<\/a> of AI,\u201d for finding a way to generate images more efficiently.)\u00a0<\/p>\n

ByteDance\u2019s artificial intelligence app Doubao has quietly pulled ahead in China\u2019s consumer AI race.<\/figcaption>

Lam Yik\u2014Bloomberg\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

That means ByteDance\u2019s direct competition isn\u2019t just DeepSeek or Alibaba, Shao says; it\u2019s livestreaming giant Kuaishou<\/a>, whose Kling imageand video-generating services have at times been the world\u2019s best.\u00a0<\/p>\n

To keep its advantage in the AI race, ByteDance needs access to powerful AI chips. Media reports claim ByteDance is the largest purchaser of Nvidia<\/a> chips inside China and that it has explored designing its own processors. It\u2019s also investing in data centers in regions like Latin America and Southeast Asia.\u00a0<\/p>\n

All those initiatives add up. In January, Reuters reported that ByteDance had earmarked over $20 billion in capital expenditures for 2025. (The company called the report \u201cincorrect.\u201d) ByteDance\u2019s competitor, Alibaba, has pledged to spend over $50 billion toward AI over the next three years. (U.S. capital expenditures dwarf even that, with Alphabet<\/a> expecting to spend as much as $93 billion in 2025 alone.)\u00a0<\/p>\n

At the same time, ByteDance is offering its model at dirt-cheap prices to undercut rivals. Clients of ByteDance\u2019s basic model pay 2.6 yuan (37 cents) per million tokens. Access to DeepSeek, on the other hand, costs about 42 cents per million tokens.\u00a0<\/p>\n

And unlike its Big Tech counterparts Alibaba and Tencent, ByteDance\u2019s private status means it can\u2019t tap public markets for capital. The TikTok U.S. deal, if finalized, may have the ancillary benefit of unlocking ByteDance\u2019s long hoped for, and long delayed, IPO.<\/p>\n

\n

ByteDance was slow to join China\u2019s AI race, but an even later entrant\u2014 DeepSeek\u2014lit a fire beneath all contenders in January when its model, built by a tiny research lab and trained on far fewer resources, matched ChatGPT\u2019s capabilities.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\n
\n

$400 billion
ByteDance\u2019s estimated valuation was once the highest among startups.<\/cite><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n

\n
\n

157 million
Doubao\u2019s monthly active users make it China\u2019s top AI app.
<\/cite><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n

\n
\n

30 trillion
The average daily number of tokens\u2014or units of data\u2014Doubao processed more than doubled in September 2025.
Source: Media Reports<\/cite><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n

\u201cDeepSeek wasn\u2019t just a wakeup call for the West, but really a wake-up call for China as well,\u201d says Shao. China\u2019s Big Tech had grown complacent \u201csitting on top of their hills\u2014commerce, or social media, or whatever\u2014and just kind of cruising.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

Now, companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and Moonshot AI are upping their game, releasing more powerful models that are often open-source, enabling developers to experiment with the models themselves.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Whatever ByteDance decides to do with AI, it may occur under the radar, at least at first. \u201cByteDance is not a company that hypes themselves up a lot in the beginning,\u201d says Shao. \u201cThey really wait until their products are mature enough to launch.\u201d<\/p>\n

With AI transforming China\u2019s tech sector, ByteDance needs money and focus. Solving the TikTok U.S. problem could net them both.<\/p>\n

This article appeared in the December 2025\/January 2026: Asia issue of <\/em>Fortune with the headline \u201cByteDance without Tiktok.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tiktok\u2019s logo was all over the October Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea, perhaps the region\u2019s most important diplomatic get-together. Videos touted the social media platform\u2019s ability to elevate creators, while an exhibition booth played a constant stream of short videos. TikTok executives onstage highlighted the billions of dollars its platform generates in Asia […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":312,"featured_media":17210,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[123],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business"],"yoast_head":"\nChina\u2019s ByteDance could be forced to sell TikTok U.S., but its quiet lead in AI will help it survive\u2014and maybe even thrive | Unlock Informed Choices with Us<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"ByteDance, the owner of TikTok and target of Washington ire, operates China\u2019s most popular chatbot, Doubao.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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