{"id":16006,"date":"2025-07-23T10:50:48","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T10:50:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?p=16006"},"modified":"2025-07-23T10:50:48","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T10:50:48","slug":"japanese-equities-rally-on-massive-u-s-trade-deal-with-markets-buoyed-by-hopes-of-more-11th-hour-announcements","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?p=16006","title":{"rendered":"Japanese equities rally on \u2018massive\u2019 U.S. trade deal, with markets buoyed by hopes of more 11th hour announcements"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

President Trump has confirmed the U.S. has agreed to a trade deal with Japan, describing it as the \u201clargest in history\u201d and sending markets flying.<\/p>\n

\n

With the Oval Office confirming the deal last night, Tokyo\u2019s Nikkei 225 was up 3.5% in trading today with the Japanese yen holding steady at 0.0068 JPY to the U.S. dollar. <\/p>\n

In Europe, London\u2019s FTSE 100 was up 0.6% this morning with Germany\u2019s DAX up near 0.9%.<\/p>\n

Touting the agreement as a \u201cgreat deal for everybody\u201d the president took to Truth Social<\/a>, his social media site, to share some of the early details: \u201cJapan will invest \u2026 $550 billion into the United States, which will receive 90% of the profits.\u201d <\/p>\n

He added: \u201cPerhaps most importantly, Japan will open their country to trade including cars and trucks, rice and certain other agricultural products, and other things.\u201d<\/p>\n

Moreover, Japanese exports to the U.S. will face tariffs of 15%<\/a>\u2014well below the 24% Trump first threatened on \u2018Liberation Day.\u2019<\/p>\n

\u201cThis is a very exciting time for the United States of America, and especially for the fact that we will continue to always have a great relationship with the country of Japan,\u201d Trump added.<\/p>\n

The news that the White House is still signing deals with key trading partners with a little over a week until the Aug. 1\u2014the date outlined in the president\u2019s so-called \u2018letter tariffs\u2019 sent earlier this month\u2014has boosted confidence that more deals could still come ahead of the deadline<\/a>, wrote Deutsche Bank\u2019s Jim Reid this morning.<\/p>\n

That being said, Reid cautioned that markets may not get their reprieve in a timely manner<\/a>. In the note seen by Fortune<\/em>, he added: \u201cCollectively, this more positive trade news has really helped to ease investor fears that tariffs are about to snap back higher on August 1.\u00a0But of course, the threat of much higher tariffs still remains for several large economies, including the 30% on the EU, 35% on Canada and 50% on Brazil. And there\u2019s also the pledge of higher sectoral tariffs, including 50% on copper, so this is far from the end just yet, and those tariffs would each have a significant impact if they did come in. <\/p>\n

\u201cWe also know from experience that we might not know the outcome until hours before the deadline, which happened in early February where the 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico were postponed for 30-days on the day before they were due to be implemented.\u201d <\/p>\n

Indeed, UBS\u2019s global wealth management CIO, Mark Haefele, wrote in a note this morning: \u201cThe U.S.\u2019s deal with Japan is better than market expectations, as the lower tariffs on autos could translate into a 0.4pp improvement in Japan\u2019s real GDP growth this year and again in 2026. The deal reduces risks to Japan\u2019s economic growth, in our view, and removes downside risks for the Japanese currency.\u201d<\/p>\n

However, the bigger picture is continued uncertainty, he added: \u201cWe expect market volatility to pick up in the lead-up to the 1 August tariff deadline, with threats to Federal Reserve independence and geopolitical uncertainty lingering in the background.\u201d<\/p>\n

Are markets pricing in August 1? <\/h2>\n

The general take on Wall Street at present is that Trump won\u2019t push ahead with his threats come the end of the month. <\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs\u2019s Jan Hatzius, for example, wrote in a note this week \u201cwe don\u2019t expect the \u2018letter tariffs\u2019 scheduled for August 1 to take effect\u201d while Deutsche Bank added \u201cit\u2019s clear that markets aren\u2019t pricing in the proposed August 1 rates.\u201d<\/p>\n

But this reliance on the TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) trade may prove fatal, the likes of JPMorgan\u2019s Jamie Dimon have cautioned.<\/p>\n

Indeed, analysts from Deutsche Bank have warned it\u2019s precisely because of this confidence from the markets that President Trump may push ahead with his plan<\/a>\u2014believing that the economy may be stable enough to take the change.\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

President Trump has confirmed the U.S. has agreed to a trade deal with Japan, describing it as the \u201clargest in history\u201d and sending markets flying. With the Oval Office confirming the deal last night, Tokyo\u2019s Nikkei 225 was up 3.5% in trading today with the Japanese yen holding steady at 0.0068 JPY to the U.S. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":367,"featured_media":16007,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[123],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business"],"yoast_head":"\nJapanese equities rally on \u2018massive\u2019 U.S. trade deal, with markets buoyed by hopes of more 11th hour announcements | Unlock Informed Choices with Us<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"President Trump touts $550B Japan trade deal as "largest in history," easing tariff fears ahead of Aug 1 per Deutsche, though UBS warns of more volatility.\" \/>\n<meta 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Pringle","author_link":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?author=367"},"uagb_comment_info":2,"uagb_excerpt":"President Trump has confirmed the U.S. has agreed to a trade deal with Japan, describing it as the \u201clargest in history\u201d and sending markets flying. With the Oval Office confirming the deal last night, Tokyo\u2019s Nikkei 225 was up 3.5% in trading today with the Japanese yen holding steady at 0.0068 JPY to the U.S.…","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16006","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/367"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16006"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16006\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/16007"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16006"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16006"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16006"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}