{"id":11059,"date":"2024-05-17T22:35:48","date_gmt":"2024-05-17T22:35:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?p=11059"},"modified":"2024-05-17T22:35:48","modified_gmt":"2024-05-17T22:35:48","slug":"its-time-to-believe-the-ai-hype","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?p=11059","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Time to Believe the AI Hype"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n<\/p>\n

\n

Folks, when dogs talk, we\u2019re talking Biblical disruption. Do you think that future models will do worse<\/em> on the law exams?<\/p>\n

If nothing else, this week proves that the rate of AI progress isn\u2019t slowing at all. Just ask the people building these models. \u201cA lot of things have happened\u2014internet, mobile,\u201d says Demis Hassabis, cofounder of DeepMind and now Google\u2019s AI czar, in a post-keynote chat at I\/O. \u201cAI is going maybe three or four times faster than those other revolutions. We\u2019re in a period of 25 or 30 years of massive change.\u201d When I asked Google search VP Liz Reid to name a big challenge, she didn\u2019t say it was to keep the innovation going\u2014instead, she cited the difficulty of absorbing the pace of change. \u201cAs the technology is early, the biggest challenge is about even what’s possible,\u201d she says. \u201cIt\u2019s understanding what the models are great at today, and what they are not great at but will be great at in three months or six months. The technology is changing so fast that you can get two researchers in the room who are working on the same project, and they’ll have totally different views when something is possible.\u201d<\/p>\n

There\u2019s universal agreement in the tech world that AI is the biggest thing since the internet, and maybe bigger. And when non-techies see the products for themselves, they most often become believers too. (Including Joe Biden, after a March 2023 demo<\/a> of ChatGPT.) That\u2019s why Microsoft is well along on a total AI reinvention, why Mark Zuckerberg is now refocusing Meta to create artificial general intelligence, why Amazon and Apple are desperately trying to keep up, and why countless startups are focusing on AI. And because all of these companies are trying to get an edge, the competitive fervor is ramping up new innovations at a frantic page. Do you think it was a coincidence<\/em> that OpenAI made its announcement a day before Google I\/O?<\/p>\n

Skeptics might try to claim that this is an industry-wide delusion, fueled by the prospect of massive profits. But the demos aren\u2019t lying. We will eventually become acclimated to the AI marvels unveiled this week. The smartphone once seemed exotic; now it\u2019s an appendage no less critical to our daily life than an arm or a leg. At a certain point AI\u2019s feats, too, may not seem magical any more. But the AI revolution will change our lives, and change us, for better or worse. And we haven\u2019t even seen GPT-5 yet.<\/p>\n

\n