{"id":10226,"date":"2024-03-28T07:20:48","date_gmt":"2024-03-28T07:20:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?p=10226"},"modified":"2024-03-28T07:20:48","modified_gmt":"2024-03-28T07:20:48","slug":"leading-china-vc-kai-fu-lee-warns-an-investor-reckoning-is-coming-for-unprofitable-ai-companies","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topat10.com\/?p=10226","title":{"rendered":"Leading China VC Kai-Fu Lee warns an investor reckoning is coming for unprofitable AI companies"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div data-cy=\"articleContent\">\n<p>The halcyon days where venture capitalists were content forking over billions to the latest AI startup, as researchers burned through cash with little to show for it, may be all but over. A \u201creckoning\u201d is coming soon for AI companies that fail to turn a profit as the new technology matures, Kai-Fu Lee, chairman and chief executive of Sinovation Ventures, said at the Fortune Innovation forum in Hong Kong on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n<p>Lee said too many large language model (LLM) startups focus on striving for breakthrough advances and too little on commercializing their work. \u201cA lot of the LLM companies out there are run by researchers who care only about making a great model,\u201d he said in a conversation with <em>Fortune <\/em>editor-in-chief Alyson Shontell. \u201cThat science fair phase needs to end.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>If there\u2019s one aspect the three leading U.S. megacap tech stocks all have in common, it\u2019s that they successfully monetized an emerging technology\u2014Microsoft with the personal computer, Apple and Google with the smartphone.<\/p>\n<p>A former Google China president and himself a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2021\/08\/12\/ai-automation-talent-ethics-bias-kaifu-lee\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">researcher<\/a>\u00a0in the field, Lee founded his own AI startup in March 2023. The firm, named 01.AI, was valued at more than $1 billion in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2023-11-05\/kai-fu-lee-s-open-source-01-ai-bests-llama-2-according-to-hugging-face\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">less than eight months<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Lee said his own former employer Google serves as a cautionary tale. Even with the densest network of AI talent found in the world to this day, he argued that Google lost its lead to OpenAI because it squandered time and resources indulging all of its employees\u2019 competing plans.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you have too many researchers and a culture where everybody can try their ideas, you\u2019ll quickly run out of money as a startup,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Huawei\u2019s focus vs Google\u2019s \u2018let one hundred flowers bloom\u2019<\/h2>\n<p>Lee argued that in order for his company to one day count among the world leaders in the field, it needs to be brutally efficient with every dollar it spends.<\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday, the AI expert pointed to Huawei as an example of how such focus might work in practice. China\u2019s leading telecom equipment maker seized on an obscure advance by Turkish IT researcher Erdal Ar\u0131kan, investing its efforts almost exclusively in commercializing his\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/huawei-5g-polar-codes-data-breakthrough\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">polar code breakthrough<\/a>. This allowed them to eventually surpass larger western competitors like Ericsson and go on to control the bulk of the 5G mobile networking market.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat made all the difference,\u201d Lee said. \u201cWe\u2019re taking that same approach to be very, very diligent to save GPU [costs].\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Thanks to its focus on efficient execution, he believes 01.AI\u2014which\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/huggingface.co\/01-ai\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">publishes<\/a>\u00a0all its research on open sites like Hugging Face\u2014has narrowed the gap to American companies like OpenAI from eight years to less than twelve months in just a year\u2019s time. <\/p>\n<p>AI rivals that instead embrace Google\u2019s strategy of \u201clet one hundred flowers bloom\u201d, as Lee phrased it, would by comparison struggle to reach profitability.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is a point of reckoning when investors are going to say: What do you have to show for yourself?\u201d said Lee. \u201cWhat\u2019s your P&amp;L? What\u2019s your revenue? What\u2019s your growth? When do you break even?\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>If an AI startup doesn\u2019t have a convincing answer, then its \u201cscience fair\u201d days are over.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The halcyon days where venture capitalists were content forking over billions to the latest AI startup, as researchers burned through cash with little to show for it, may be all but over. A \u201creckoning\u201d is coming soon for AI companies that fail to turn a profit as the new technology matures, Kai-Fu Lee, chairman and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":10227,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[123],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Leading China VC Kai-Fu Lee warns an investor reckoning is coming for unprofitable AI companies | Unlock Informed Choices with Us<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Kai-Fu Lee warns that some AI developers, including Google, are squandering time and resources by pursuing 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